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The Bad with the Good

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  • The Bad with the Good

    By Greater Fool (Reporter)

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    The market giveth and the market taketh away. As we closed out the month of September, global equity returns were tracking our “good year, not a great year” expectation with global equities up 3.8% on a price basis, largely being driven by the strong US markets with the S&P 500 up 9%. But all this flipped in early October with volatility spiking and the US/global equity markets coming under intense selling pressure with global equities down over 5% in the month of October.

    As is typical during these market sell-offs we’re seeing lots of negative headlines (because fear sells) and many concerned investors wondering if this is the beginning of the end of this bull market. We believe it’s way too early to make this bold call and from our perspective, this looks like just a normal correction around the seasonally weak September/October months.

    Some of the reasons being attributed to this sell-off include a spike in bond yields driven by strength in the US economy, Trump’s trade war with China and slowing global growth.

    While market corrections are always difficult to stomach as we see red across the board and our hard earned savings take a dip, I actually think they can be a good thing. Corrections help to reset investor complacency/overconfidence, they allow the stock market to rebuild “internal energy”, and they remind investors that stocks can be volatile beasts and that you have to be prepared to take the bad with the good if you’re going to invest in the equity markets. As the expression goes, there is no free lunch.

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  • #2
    thanks/ very interesting post

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    • #3
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      • #4

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        Last edited by sergann; 03-10-2019, 08:00 PM.

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        • #5
          Thanks for sharing, really a great post

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          • #6
            interesting....

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